Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Mae Malige		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.81	1.47
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.69	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (4.13)	1.42 ↑ (1.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mae Malige
34.2%

Jan Choinski
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

77.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mae Malige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mae Malige's performance.

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mae Malige - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Malige is ranked ATP: 519. Choinski is ranked ATP: 121.

Malige is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Choinski's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Malige may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Choinski is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mae Malige
ITF Tournaments
01.03.26	Sebastian Sorger - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Olle Wallin - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Mae Malige - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Mae Malige - Matthew Donald	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Mae Malige - Marcel Kamrowski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Dubai
22.02.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Quentin Halys - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	James McCabe - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches