Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Magdalena Frech		Maria Timofeeva

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.26	3.74	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.51	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	2.8 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdalena Frech
65.9%

Maria Timofeeva
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdalena Frech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Maria Timofeeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Magdalena Frech - Maria Timofeeva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Frech will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Timofeeva will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Timofeeva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Frech (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Frech (votes: 1 - 50%). Timofeeva (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Frech is ranked WTA: 57. Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 155.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Frech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Frech could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Frech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Maria Timofeeva - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.32%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magdalena Frech
WTA Dubai
14.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Ekaterina Yashina	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Magdalena Frech	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Magdalena Frech - Vera Zvonareva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL
- Maria Timofeeva
WTA Merida
22.02.26	Maria Timofeeva - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Maria Timofeeva - Martina Capurro Taborda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.01.26	Carol Young Suh Lee - Maria Timofeeva	Timofeeva M. retired ✺
20.01.26	Anastasia Tikhonova - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
12.01.26	Mai Hontama - Maria Timofeeva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
09.02.24	Magdalena Frech - Maria Timofeeva	2:1

Magdalena Frech - Maria Timofeeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide