Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Mai Hontama		Maria Timofeeva

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3.07	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.88	1.43	Watch
	3	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.22)	1.36 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
31.4%

Maria Timofeeva
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mai Hontama's form might have worsened.

Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Timofeeva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mai Hontama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Timofeeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mai Hontama - Maria Timofeeva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Timofeeva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Maria Timofeeva will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 242. Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 138.

Recent form of Hontama has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Timofeeva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Timofeeva is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hontama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Mai Hontama - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.48%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	En Shuo Liang - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Mai Hontama - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.12.25	Mai Hontama - Harriet Dart	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Mai Hontama - Natsuki Yoshimoto	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mai Hontama - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- Maria Timofeeva
WTA Brisbane
02.01.26	Maria Timofeeva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Antonia Ruzic - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Jeline Vandromme - Maria Timofeeva	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Mona Barthel - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Mina Hodzic - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.05.22	Mai Hontama - Maria Timofeeva	2:0

Mai Hontama - Maria Timofeeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide