Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara (Mexico), hard - Final

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Magdalena Frech		Olivia Gadecki

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.72	2.09	Watch
	1.77	2.15
	1.73	2.2	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.74	2.11	Watch
	1.72	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.19)	2.12 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdalena Frech
55%

Olivia Gadecki
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdalena Frech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magdalena Frech's performance.

Olivia Gadecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olivia Gadecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Magdalena Frech that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olivia Gadecki than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olivia Gadecki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Magdalena Frech - Olivia Gadecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Frech will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Gadecki will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frech: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Frech is ranked WTA: 43. Gadecki is ranked WTA: 152.

Frech is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gadecki is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gadecki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magdalena Frech
WTA Guadalajara
14.09.24	Magdalena Frech - Caroline Garcia	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Marina Stakusic - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
12.09.24	Ashlyn Krueger - Magdalena Frech	1:2 ✺
10.09.24	Emina Bektas - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.24	Greetje Minnen - Magdalena Frech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL
- Olivia Gadecki
WTA Guadalajara
14.09.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Olivia Gadecki	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Martina Trevisan - Olivia Gadecki	1:2 ✺
11.09.24	Olivia Gadecki - Danielle Collins	2:0 ✺
09.09.24	Sloane Stephens - Olivia Gadecki	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Maya Joint - Olivia Gadecki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWWWW

Magdalena Frech - Olivia Gadecki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide