Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
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Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
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Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Magdalena Frech		Peyton Stearns

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.54	1.49	Watch
	2.63	1.54
	2.87	1.42	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.63	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.36)	1.49 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdalena Frech
35.9%

Peyton Stearns
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdalena Frech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Peyton Stearns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Magdalena Frech - Peyton Stearns Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Frech will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Stearns will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frech: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Frech (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Stearns (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 Games - Frech (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Stearns (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Frech (votes: 3 - 60%). Stearns (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Frech is ranked WTA: 33. Stearns is ranked WTA: 54.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Stearns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stearns is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Frech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magdalena Frech
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Magdalena Frech - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Magdalena Frech - Sorana Cirstea	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Magdalena Frech	2:0 ✺
WTA Washington
25.07.25	Elena Rybakina - Magdalena Frech	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Venus Williams - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW
- Peyton Stearns
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Darja Semenistaja - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
WTA Cleveland
18.08.25	Peyton Stearns - Yafan Wang	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Anna Kalinskaya - Peyton Stearns	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Peyton Stearns - Yafan Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Emma Raducanu - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Montreal
06.08.23	Peyton Stearns - Magdalena Frech	2:0
WTA Washington
01.08.23	Peyton Stearns - Magdalena Frech	2:0

Magdalena Frech - Peyton Stearns: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide