Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open (France) - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Referee: Corvaia R. (Aus)


	Mai Hontama		Carol Zhao

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.28	3.5
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.58
	1.31	3.58
	1.36	3
	1.33	3.24	Watch
	1.32	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.5)	3.36 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
71.9%

Carol Zhao
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carol Zhao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mai Hontama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carol Zhao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mai Hontama - Carol Zhao Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hontama will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Zhao will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hontama: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Zhao could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hontama is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hontama won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
ITF Tournaments
16.05.24	Mai Hontama - Anca Alexia Todoni	1:2 ✺
15.05.24	Amandine Hesse - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Mai Hontama - Lina Gjorcheska	0:2 ✺
08.05.24	Mai Hontama - Radka Zelnickova	2:0 ✺
03.05.24	Arina Rodionova - Mai Hontama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Carol Zhao
ITF Tournaments
16.05.24	Carol Zhao - Mei Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
15.05.24	Carol Zhao - Naho Sato	2:1 ✺
09.05.24	Carol Zhao - Emina Bektas	1:2 ✺
08.05.24	Carol Zhao - Miho Kuramochi	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Carol Zhao - Sarah Beth Grey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.05.21	Carol Zhao - Mai Hontama	0:2

Mai Hontama - Carol Zhao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide