Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kurume (Japan), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	Carol Zhao		Naho Sato

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.62	2.15
	1.62	2.2
	1.63	2.2
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.26	Watch
	1.59	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.4)	2.2 ↓ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carol Zhao
57.8%

Naho Sato
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carol Zhao's form might have worsened.

Naho Sato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naho Sato's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carol Zhao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naho Sato than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naho Sato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Zhao is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sato is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zhao will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carol Zhao
ITF Tournaments
09.05.24	Carol Zhao - Emina Bektas	1:2 ✺
08.05.24	Carol Zhao - Miho Kuramochi	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Carol Zhao - Sarah Beth Grey	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Sara Saito - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Carol Zhao - Rebecca Marino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL
- Naho Sato
ITF Tournaments
13.05.24	Naho Sato - Sarah Beth Grey	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Petra Hule - Naho Sato	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Ena Shibahara - Naho Sato	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Destanee Aiava - Naho Sato	2:1 ✺
03.04.24	Naho Sato - Sayaka Ishii	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naho Sato
ITF Tournaments
10.10.26	Naho Sato - Ena Shibahara	✺

Carol Zhao - Naho Sato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide