Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Mai Hontama		Hayu Kinoshita

	1	2
			Watch
	2.34	1.53
	2.54	1.53
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.34	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.68)	1.54 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mai Hontama
39.6%

Hayu Kinoshita
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.

Hayu Kinoshita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hayu Kinoshita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayu Kinoshita than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Mai Hontama - Hayu Kinoshita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hontama is ranked WTA: 215. Kinoshita is ranked WTA: 297.

Hontama has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kinoshita is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kinoshita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kinoshita will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Kinoshita will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mai Hontama
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Yuki Naito - Mai Hontama	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Ariana Arseneault - Mai Hontama	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Mai Hontama - Taylah Preston	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Mai Hontama - Kristiana Sidorova	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Sae Noguchi - Mai Hontama	Hontama M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLW?
- Hayu Kinoshita
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Lin Zhu	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Aoi Ito	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Yeon Woo Ku - Hayu Kinoshita	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW

Mai Hontama - Hayu Kinoshita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide