Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Ariana Arseneault		Mai Hontama

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Ariana Arseneault
30%

Mai Hontama
70%

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

26.6%

73.4%

Ariana Arseneault has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Arseneault is ranked WTA: 455. Hontama is ranked WTA: 215.

Arseneault is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hontama has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arseneault may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hontama is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Ariana Arseneault - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Ariana Arseneault - Kurea Hayasaka	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Alexandra Vagramov	Arseneault A. retired ✺
12.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Isabella Marton	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Ariana Arseneault - Sabastiani Leon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LW?WW
- Mai Hontama
ITF Tournaments
01.04.26	Mai Hontama - Taylah Preston	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Mai Hontama - Kristiana Sidorova	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Sae Noguchi - Mai Hontama	Hontama M. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Mai Hontama - Julia Grabher	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Anastasia Gasanova - Mai Hontama	Gasanova A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LW?L?

Ariana Arseneault - Mai Hontama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide