Match Info
WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 21 August 2025, ThursdayLocation: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Mai Hontama |
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Rebecca Marino |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.1 |
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1.67 |
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 |
2 |
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1.75 |
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 |
2.08 |
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1.72 |
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 |
2.09 |
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1.76 |
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2.21 |
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1.62 |
 Watch |
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2 |
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1.73 |
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2.08 |
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1.72 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.75) |
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1.71 ↑
(1.4) |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mai Hontama
45.1% | Rebecca Marino
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mai Hontama's performance.Rebecca Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebecca Marino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mai Hontama that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Marino than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rebecca Marino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Hontama will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Marino will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hontama: 48.7% – 87.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hontama (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Marino (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 Sets - Hontama (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Hontama (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Marino (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Hontama is ranked WTA: 181. Marino is ranked WTA: 119.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Marino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Marino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hontama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 07.02.25 | Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino | 0:2 | | ITF Tournaments | | | 26.04.24 | Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino | 2:1 | | 07.05.19 | Mai Hontama - Rebecca Marino | 0:2 |
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