Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Maja Chwalinska		Darja Vidmanova

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.54	2.6
	1.48	2.57	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.56	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.79)	2.46 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maja Chwalinska
61.7%

Darja Vidmanova
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maja Chwalinska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maja Chwalinska's performance.

Darja Vidmanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darja Vidmanova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maja Chwalinska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Vidmanova than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darja Vidmanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maja Chwalinska - Darja Vidmanova Predictions

Users Predictions: Maja Chwalinska will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maja Chwalinska will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 134. Vidmanova is ranked WTA: 137.

Chwalinska is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vidmanova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vidmanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chwalinska won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maja Chwalinska
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Maja Chwalinska - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Maja Chwalinska - Noma Akugue Noha	2:1 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
05.02.26	Emma Raducanu - Maja Chwalinska	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Maja Chwalinska - Olga Danilovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Darja Vidmanova
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Darja Vidmanova - Dalma Galfi	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Francisca Jorge - Darja Vidmanova	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Darja Vidmanova - Gabriela Agra Amorim	2:0 ✺
WTA Ostrava
01.02.26	Panna Udvardy - Darja Vidmanova	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
14.01.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.07.22	Darja Vidmanova - Maja Chwalinska	1:2

Maja Chwalinska - Darja Vidmanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide