Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cluj-Napoca, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 5
Denmark	TV2 Play
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Romania	Pro Arena
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Emma Raducanu		Maja Chwalinska

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.21	4.3
	1.24	4.46
	1.05	8.68	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.23	4.18	Watch
	1.22	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)	4.87 ↑ (3.32)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emma Raducanu
80.2%

Maja Chwalinska
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emma Raducanu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emma Raducanu's performance.

Maja Chwalinska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maja Chwalinska might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emma Raducanu than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emma Raducanu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maja Chwalinska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Emma Raducanu - Maja Chwalinska Predictions

Users Predictions: Emma Raducanu will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Raducanu is ranked WTA: 30. Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 146.

Raducanu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chwalinska is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Raducanu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Raducanu is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emma Raducanu
WTA Cluj Napoca
04.02.26	Emma Raducanu - Kaja Juvan	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Emma Raducanu - Greetje Minnen	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Anastasia Potapova - Emma Raducanu	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
15.01.26	Emma Raducanu - Taylah Preston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Maja Chwalinska
WTA Cluj Napoca
04.02.26	Maja Chwalinska - Olga Danilovic	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Maja Chwalinska - Ana Bogdan	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Mara Gae - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
14.01.26	Maja Chwalinska - Anhelina Kalinina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

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