Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Colina, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Maja Chwalinska		Leolia Jeanjean

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.51	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.59)	2.67 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maja Chwalinska
65%

Leolia Jeanjean
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maja Chwalinska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maja Chwalinska's performance.

Leolia Jeanjean has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leolia Jeanjean might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maja Chwalinska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leolia Jeanjean than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leolia Jeanjean could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Maja Chwalinska - Leolia Jeanjean Predictions

Users Predictions: Maja Chwalinska will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maja Chwalinska will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 133. Jeanjean is ranked WTA: 106.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Jeanjean may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chwalinska is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chwalinska won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Maja Chwalinska - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.27%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Leolia Jeanjean - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.73%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maja Chwalinska
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Maja Chwalinska - Despina Papamichail	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Maja Chwalinska - Martina Trevisan	2:1 ✺
06.10.25	Caroline Werner - Maja Chwalinska	Canceled ✺
04.10.25	Sara Bejlek - Maja Chwalinska	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WW?LW
- Leolia Jeanjean
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Laura Pigossi - Leolia Jeanjean	1:2 ✺
18.11.25	Julia Riera - Leolia Jeanjean	1:2 ✺
WTA Chennai
29.10.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Nina Stojanovic	Canceled ✺
WTA Guangzhou
20.10.25	Ella Seidel - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
WTA Wuhan
04.10.25	Katie Boulter - Leolia Jeanjean	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WW?L?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.12.24	Leolia Jeanjean - Maja Chwalinska	0:2
ITF Tournaments
17.02.22	Leolia Jeanjean - Maja Chwalinska	2:1

Maja Chwalinska - Leolia Jeanjean: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide