Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rende, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Sara Bejlek		Maja Chwalinska

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.83	1.91
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2.13	1.68
	2.06	1.71	Watch
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	1.76	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.63)	1.79 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Bejlek
47.6%

Maja Chwalinska
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Bejlek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sara Bejlek's form might have worsened.

Maja Chwalinska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maja Chwalinska's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sara Bejlek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maja Chwalinska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sara Bejlek - Maja Chwalinska Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bejlek will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Chwalinska will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bejlek: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maja Chwalinska will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bejlek is ranked WTA: 117. Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 135.

Bejlek has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chwalinska is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bejlek could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bejlek won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Bejlek
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Sara Bejlek	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Sara Bejlek - Nuria Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Anouk Koevermans - Sara Bejlek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLL
- Maja Chwalinska
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Maja Chwalinska - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Maja Chwalinska - Silvia Ambrosio	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Simona Waltert - Maja Chwalinska	2:1 ✺
11.09.25	Dalila Jakupovic - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.08.20	Maja Chwalinska - Sara Bejlek	2:0

Sara Bejlek - Maja Chwalinska: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide