Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Maja Chwalinska		Yulia Starodubtseva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.21	1.69
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.13	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.37)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maja Chwalinska
43.8%

Yulia Starodubtseva
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maja Chwalinska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Yulia Starodubtseva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maja Chwalinska that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yulia Starodubtseva than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yulia Starodubtseva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maja Chwalinska - Yulia Starodubtseva Predictions

Users Predictions: Yulia Starodubtseva will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 125. Starodubtseva is ranked WTA: 99.

Chwalinska is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Starodubtseva is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chwalinska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Starodubtseva will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Yulia Starodubtseva - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.15%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maja Chwalinska
WTA Madrid
21.04.25	Cristina Bucsa - Maja Chwalinska	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Dalma Galfi - Maja Chwalinska	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.25	Maja Chwalinska - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Maja Chwalinska - Wushuang Zheng	1:2 ✺
01.04.25	Maja Chwalinska - Tamara Korpatsch	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLLL?
- Yulia Starodubtseva
WTA Madrid
28.04.25	Mirra Andreeva - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Yulia Starodubtseva	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Karolina Muchova	Canceled ✺
23.04.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWW?W

Maja Chwalinska - Yulia Starodubtseva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide