Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Yulia Starodubtseva

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.25	3.8
	1.3	3.69
	1.33	3.24	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.3	3.56	Watch
	1.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)	3.62 ↑ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
73.8%

Yulia Starodubtseva
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludmilla Samsonova's performance.

Yulia Starodubtseva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yulia Starodubtseva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludmilla Samsonova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yulia Starodubtseva than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yulia Starodubtseva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Yulia Starodubtseva Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Starodubtseva will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 1 - 50%). Starodubtseva (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 20. Starodubtseva is ranked WTA: 99.

Recent matches Samsonova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Starodubtseva in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Starodubtseva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Samsonova is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Caroline Dolehide	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
13.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW
- Yulia Starodubtseva
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Karolina Muchova	Canceled ✺
23.04.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Yulia Starodubtseva	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Chloe Paquet - Yulia Starodubtseva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 W?WWW

Ludmilla Samsonova - Yulia Starodubtseva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide