Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sapporo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday


	Makoto Ochi		Yuki Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	2.10	1.62
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.19	1.69
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.67
	2.07	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.83)	1.64 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Makoto Ochi
43.2%

Yuki Mochizuki
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Makoto Ochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Makoto Ochi's form might have worsened.

Yuki Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuki Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Makoto Ochi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuki Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Makoto Ochi - Yuki Mochizuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ochi is ranked ATP: 1146. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 664.

Ochi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mochizuki has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ochi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ochi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Makoto Ochi - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Makoto Ochi
ITF Tournaments
02.09.26	Kuan-Yi Lee - Makoto Ochi	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Makoto Ochi - Yu Tanaka	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Sean Cuenin - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Drazen Petrovic - Makoto Ochi	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Vuk Radjenovic - Makoto Ochi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Yuki Mochizuki
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Kasidit Samrej - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Yuki Mochizuki - Hiromasa Koyama	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Yuki Mochizuki - Fanming Meng	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Yuki Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Yuki Mochizuki - Donghyun Hwang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.07.23	Yuki Mochizuki - Makoto Ochi	2:0
03.11.19	Yuki Mochizuki - Makoto Ochi	Ochi M. retired

Makoto Ochi - Yuki Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide