Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Hong Kong 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Makoto Ochi		Yuta Kawahashi

	1	2
	2.74	1.43
	2.64	1.37	Watch
	2.81	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.35)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Makoto Ochi
33.8%

Yuta Kawahashi
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Makoto Ochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Makoto Ochi's form might have worsened.

Yuta Kawahashi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuta Kawahashi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Makoto Ochi than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Makoto Ochi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Kawahashi than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuta Kawahashi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Makoto Ochi - Yuta Kawahashi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawahashi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ochi is ranked ATP: 1282. Kawahashi is ranked ATP: 783.

Recent performances by Ochi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kawahashi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kawahashi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kawahashi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Kawahashi will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Makoto Ochi
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Makoto Ochi - Kai Thompson	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Evan Zhu - Makoto Ochi	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Zhe Li - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Makoto Ochi - Ye Cong Mo	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Makoto Ochi - Daisuke Sumizawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL
- Yuta Kawahashi
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Dmitry Bessonov - Yuta Kawahashi	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Alexey Aleshchev - Yuta Kawahashi	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Arthur Weber - Yuta Kawahashi	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Michael Zhu	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Parth Aggarwal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Makoto Ochi - Yuta Kawahashi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide