Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: DRUMMONDVILLE (CANADA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 November 2023, Monday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.15
			Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.65	2.29
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.19	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.85)	2.21 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
57.5%

Aziz Dougaz
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aziz Dougaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maks Kasnikowski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aziz Dougaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Maks Kasnikowski - Aziz Dougaz Predictions

Users Predictions: Maks Kasnikowski will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kasnikowski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kasnikowski will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
09.11.23	Enzo Wallart - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Lukas Klein - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Federico Gaio - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
27.10.23	Mathias Bourgue - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWW
- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
10.11.23	Gabriel Diallo - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Steven Diez - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Dan Martin - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.11.23	Aziz Dougaz - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
02.11.23	Aziz Dougaz - Leo Vithoontien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW

Maks Kasnikowski - Aziz Dougaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide