Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Cezar Cretu

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.36	2.90
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.39	3.05
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	3.03 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
69.2%

Cezar Cretu
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Cezar Cretu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cezar Cretu than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Maks Kasnikowski - Cezar Cretu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 238., and Cretu is ranked ATP: 276..

Kasnikowski is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Cretu have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cretu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Kasnikowski is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.04%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
07.10.26	Philip Henning - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	James Duckworth - Maks Kasnikowski	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Alex De Minaur - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 L?LLW
- Cezar Cretu
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Cezar Cretu - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Rafalentino Ali Da Costa - Cezar Cretu	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Gunawan Trismuwantara - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Harold Mayot - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Facundo Mena - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 L?WLW

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