Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.80
	1.86	1.90	Watch
	1.90	1.97
	1.83	1.88	Watch
	1.88	1.95
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)	1.89 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
50.3%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Maks Kasnikowski - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kasnikowski will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Hara Friend will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 258. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 312.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.05%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Christian Langmo - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Elmer Moller - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Yanki Erel - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Samir Hamza Reguig - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Billy Harris - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

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