Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.20	1.64	Watch
	2.09	1.82
	2.09	1.68	Watch
	2.04	1.76
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.00	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.1)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
45.2%

Maks Kasnikowski
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francesco Maestrelli - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 168. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 258.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kasnikowski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maestrelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.86%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.14%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alafia Ayeni	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Toby Samuel - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Christian Langmo - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Elmer Moller - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Maks Kasnikowski - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0

Francesco Maestrelli - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide