Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	1.90	1.80
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	1.92	1.92
	1.88	1.80	Watch
	1.94	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.22)	1.81 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
48.6%

Damir Dzumhur
51.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damir Dzumhur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Maks Kasnikowski - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Damir Dzumhur will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 238., and Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 103..

Kasnikowski has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dzumhur shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kasnikowski could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Dzumhur in today's match, at odds of 1.64.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.73%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Philip Henning - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	James Duckworth - Maks Kasnikowski	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWL?
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Tom Gentzsch - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Aziz Dougaz - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
08.10.26	Damir Dzumhur - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
07.10.26	Damir Dzumhur - Georgii Kravchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Brussels
21.10.26	Dino Prizmic - Damir Dzumhur	✺

Maks Kasnikowski - Damir Dzumhur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide