Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.60	2.20
	1.6	2.2
	1.58	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.25
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.04)	2.21 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
57.9%

Stefano Travaglia
42.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Travaglia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maks Kasnikowski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Travaglia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Maks Kasnikowski - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kasnikowski will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Travaglia will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 238., and Travaglia is ranked ATP: 173..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Kasnikowski could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Kasnikowski is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Kasnikowski has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.11%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.89%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Philip Henning - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	James Duckworth - Maks Kasnikowski	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Alex De Minaur - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWL?L
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Stefano Travaglia - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Thiago Monteiro - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.06.23	Stefano Travaglia - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2

Maks Kasnikowski - Stefano Travaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide