Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Thiago Monteiro		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.80	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.87	1.89	Watch
	1.83	2.05
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
52.2%

Stefano Travaglia
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Thiago Monteiro - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 280. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 147.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Monteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Monteiro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.76%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Thiago Monteiro - Max Hans Rehberg	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Gustavo Heide - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Thiago Monteiro - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Stefano Napolitano - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Harry Wendelken - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Stefano Travaglia - Nicolas Kicker	Travaglia S. Retired ✺
04.08.26	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.09.23	Stefano Travaglia - Thiago Monteiro	1:2
22.06.23	Stefano Travaglia - Thiago Monteiro	2:0
20.09.22	Stefano Travaglia - Thiago Monteiro	1:2
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
05.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Stefano Travaglia	0:2

Thiago Monteiro - Stefano Travaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide