Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Austin, TX (USA), hard - Final

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Malaika Rapolu		Karina Miller

	1	2
	2.55	1.44
	2.5	1.45
	2.54	1.5
	2.54	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.69	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.92)	1.46 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malaika Rapolu
36.4%

Karina Miller
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malaika Rapolu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Karina Miller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaika Rapolu than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malaika Rapolu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karina Miller than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karina Miller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Malaika Rapolu - Karina Miller Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rapolu will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Miller will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rapolu: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rapolu is ranked WTA: 809. Miller is ranked WTA: 487.

Rapolu in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Miller is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rapolu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Miller is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Miller to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malaika Rapolu
ITF Tournaments
16.11.24	Haruka Kaji - Malaika Rapolu	1:2 ✺
15.11.24	Rinon Okuwaki - Malaika Rapolu	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Jamie Loeb - Malaika Rapolu	0:2 ✺
12.11.24	Malaika Rapolu - Gabriela Knutson	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Yuliana Monroy - Malaika Rapolu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWW
- Karina Miller
ITF Tournaments
16.11.24	Whitney Osuigwe - Karina Miller	1:2 ✺
15.11.24	Karina Miller - Jaimee Fourlis	2:1 ✺
14.11.24	Lina Glushko - Karina Miller	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Karina Miller - Charlotte Kempenaers-Pocz	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.11.24	Karina Miller - Lesia Tsurenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

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