Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Malaika Rapolu		Gabriela Knutson

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.60
	2.38	1.52
	2.36	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.51
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.38	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.91)	1.53 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malaika Rapolu
39.1%

Gabriela Knutson
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malaika Rapolu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malaika Rapolu's form might have worsened.

Gabriela Knutson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriela Knutson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malaika Rapolu than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malaika Rapolu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriela Knutson than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriela Knutson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Malaika Rapolu - Gabriela Knutson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rapolu is ranked WTA: 333., and Knutson is ranked WTA: 163..

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Knutson could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Rapolu has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriela Knutson - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.45%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malaika Rapolu
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Noma Akugue Noha - Malaika Rapolu	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Caroline Werner - Malaika Rapolu	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Malaika Rapolu	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Malaika Rapolu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Malaika Rapolu - Katie Swan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL
- Gabriela Knutson
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Anouk Koevermans - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Aoi Ito - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
01.09.26	Gabriela Knutson - Eva Lys	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Gabriela Knutson - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Dominika Salkova - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.11.24	Malaika Rapolu - Gabriela Knutson	2:0

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