Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	Mananchaya Sawangkaew		Kayla Day

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.11
	1.68	2.29
	1.64	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.66	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.36)	2.14 ↓ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mananchaya Sawangkaew
56.3%

Kayla Day
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mananchaya Sawangkaew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mananchaya Sawangkaew's form might have worsened.

Kayla Day has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kayla Day's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mananchaya Sawangkaew than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mananchaya Sawangkaew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kayla Day, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Kayla Day Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sawangkaew will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Day will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Day: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sawangkaew is ranked WTA: 173. Day is ranked WTA: 145.

Sawangkaew has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Day is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Day may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sawangkaew is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mananchaya Sawangkaew
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Linda Klimovicova	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Aoi Ito	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Yuriko Lily Miyazaki	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.05.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Hikaru Sato	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Kayla Day
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Kayla Day - Hanne Van De Winkel	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.05.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Kayla Day	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Kayla Day - Luisina Giovannini	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Angela Fita Boluda - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Eva Vedder - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Kayla Day: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide