Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Mananchaya Sawangkaew		Tatjana Maria

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	3.05	1.36
	3.11	1.40
	2.98	1.4	Watch
	3.05	1.39
	2.89	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.72)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mananchaya Sawangkaew
32.3%

Tatjana Maria
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mananchaya Sawangkaew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Tatjana Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mananchaya Sawangkaew than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Tatjana Maria Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sawangkaew will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Maria will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maria: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sawangkaew is ranked WTA: 164. Maria is ranked WTA: 96.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

In this match, Maria is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Maria will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mananchaya Sawangkaew
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Mary Stoiana	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Caroline Dolehide	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.26	Karolina Muchova - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Alycia Parks - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Tatjana Maria
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Katherine Sebov - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Olivia Lincer - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.26	Tatjana Maria - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Yulia Putintseva - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Tatjana Maria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide