Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Tatjana Maria

	1	2
	3.50	1.29	Watch
	3.90	1.24
	3.55	1.28	Watch
	3.91	1.28
	3.57	1.26	Watch
	3.70	1.25
	3.49	1.26	Watch
	3.45	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (5.45)	1.27 ↑ (1.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
25.8%

Tatjana Maria
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

83%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucrezia Stefanini's performance.

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tatjana Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Lucrezia Stefanini - Tatjana Maria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stefanini is ranked WTA: 163. Maria is ranked WTA: 96.

Stefanini is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Maria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maria is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stefanini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Anna Sinclair Rogers	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.07.26	Savannah Broadus - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Yexin Ma - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Kristina Liutova - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- Tatjana Maria
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Katherine Sebov - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Olivia Lincer - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.26	Tatjana Maria - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Yulia Putintseva - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
27.06.26	Tatjana Maria - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Tatjana Maria	0:2
WTA Australian Open
17.01.23	Lucrezia Stefanini - Tatjana Maria	2:1
ITF Tournaments
23.10.19	Lucrezia Stefanini - Tatjana Maria	0:2

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