Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Alkmaar, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alkmaar 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Manel Lazaro Juncadella		Julien Penzlin

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Manel Lazaro Juncadella
50.8%

Julien Penzlin
49.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manel Lazaro Juncadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manel Lazaro Juncadella's performance.

Julien Penzlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Julien Penzlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manel Lazaro Juncadella than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julien Penzlin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lazaro Juncadella is ranked ATP: 1552. Penzlin is ranked ATP: 1525.

Lazaro Juncadella has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Penzlin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Penzlin will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manel Lazaro Juncadella
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Elgin Khoeblal - Manel Lazaro Juncadella	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Johan Oscar Lien - Manel Lazaro Juncadella	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - John Echeverria	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Marcos Castro Fabra - Manel Lazaro Juncadella	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWL
- Julien Penzlin
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Julien Penzlin - Sydney Zick	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Sebastian Bozemoj - Julien Penzlin	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Vincent Marysko - Julien Penzlin	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila - Julien Penzlin	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Julien Penzlin - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLWW

Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Julien Penzlin