Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 15 July 2024, Monday

Referee: Blom J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6, SportKlub 7, SportKlub 8
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4


	Manuel Guinard		Denis Yevseyev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.52	2.58
	1.49	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.87)	2.53 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Guinard
62.8%

Denis Yevseyev
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Guinard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manuel Guinard's performance.

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denis Yevseyev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manuel Guinard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Yevseyev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Manuel Guinard - Denis Yevseyev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guinard is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Yevseyev is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guinard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guinard will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guinard won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Last Results with these Odds

Manuel Guinard - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Denis Yevseyev - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Guinard
ATP Bastad
14.07.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Manuel Guinard	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Manuel Guinard - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Ugo Blanchet - Manuel Guinard	Guinard M. retired ✺
03.06.24	Javier Barranco Cosano - Manuel Guinard	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLL??
- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Bastad
14.07.24	Ludvig Fredrik Hede - Denis Yevseyev	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Denis Yevseyev - Damir Dzumhur	Canceled ✺
03.07.24	Denis Yevseyev - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.24	Zizou Bergs - Denis Yevseyev	3:0 ✺
26.06.24	Denis Yevseyev - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.08.22	Manuel Guinard - Denis Yevseyev	2:0

Manuel Guinard - Denis Yevseyev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide