Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PAU (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday


	Manuel Guinard		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	4	1.2
	4.3	1.2
	4.31	1.23
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.94	1.22	Watch
	3.8	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (2.68)	1.22 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Guinard
23.1%

Jan-Lennard Struff
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manuel Guinard's form might have worsened.

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jan-Lennard Struff's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manuel Guinard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jan-Lennard Struff, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Manuel Guinard - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan-Lennard Struff will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guinard has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Struff is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Guinard
ATP Marseille
19.02.23	Zsombor Piros - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
05.02.23	Antoine Bellier - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.01.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
16.01.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Manuel Guinard	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
10.01.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Manuel Guinard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Challenger
18.02.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
17.02.23	Tomas Machac - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
15.02.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
07.02.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL

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