Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kigali (Rwanda) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Manuel Guinard		Neil Oberleitner

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Manuel Guinard
56.9%

Neil Oberleitner
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Guinard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Neil Oberleitner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Guinard than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guinard will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Oberleitner will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Guinard is ranked ATP: 287. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 440.

Guinard is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oberleitner is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guinard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guinard will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Oberleitner to win the game is with odds 2.25.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Guinard
ATP Challenger
17.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Manuel Guinard	Guinard M. retired ✺
ATP Marseille
11.02.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Manuel Guinard	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Manuel Guinard - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Manuel Guinard	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Manuel Guinard - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 ?LLWL
- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Daniel Michalski - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Claude Ishimwe - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Neil Oberleitner - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Neil Oberleitner - Piet Luis Pinter	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Neil Oberleitner - Jiri Cizek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW

Manuel Guinard - Neil Oberleitner