Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Antalya 8 (Turkey), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday


	Manuel Mazza		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.98	1.72
	2.39	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.01	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.36)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Mazza
42.1%

Max Alcala Gurri
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Mazza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manuel Mazza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Alcala Gurri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Mazza is ranked ATP: 831. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 419.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Mazza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcala Gurri will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mazza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Mazza
ITF Tournaments
13.03.25	Savva Polukhin - Manuel Mazza	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Manuel Mazza - Emirhan Bulut	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Manuel Mazza - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Manuel Mazza - Stefan Popovic	1:2 ✺
13.02.25	Manuel Mazza - Federico Valle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
13.03.25	Timofei Derepasko - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Sergey Fomin - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Juan Pablo Paz - Max Alcala Gurri	Paz J. P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.03.25	Manuel Mazza - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2
19.05.22	Manuel Mazza - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0

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