Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Messina, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 June 2025, Thursday


	Manuel Mazza		Tomasz Berkieta

	1	2
			Watch
	1.64	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)	2.14 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Mazza
56.6%

Tomasz Berkieta
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Mazza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tomasz Berkieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manuel Mazza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomasz Berkieta than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomasz Berkieta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Mazza is ranked ATP: 778. Berkieta is ranked ATP: 845.

Mazza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Berkieta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Berkieta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mazza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Mazza
ITF Tournaments
11.06.25	Giorgio Tabacco - Manuel Mazza	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Rafael Tosetto - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Fausto Tabacco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW
- Tomasz Berkieta
ITF Tournaments
11.06.25	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Mariano Tammaro	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Filippo Francesco Garbero	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Sebastian Dominko	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Viacheslav Bielinskyi - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL

Manuel Mazza - Tomasz Berkieta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide