Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Alkmaar, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday


	Manvydas Balciunas		Toby Martin

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
			Watch
	1.73	2
	1.63	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.36)	2.02 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manvydas Balciunas
54.3%

Toby Martin
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manvydas Balciunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manvydas Balciunas's performance.

Toby Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toby Martin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manvydas Balciunas than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manvydas Balciunas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Martin than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toby Martin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Balciunas is ranked ATP: 1273. Martin is ranked ATP: 935.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Balciunas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manvydas Balciunas
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Manvydas Balciunas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Sebastian Gima - Manvydas Balciunas	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Manvydas Balciunas - Gabi Adrian Boitan	Boitan G. A. retired ✺
14.05.25	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Manvydas Balciunas	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Manvydas Balciunas - Kilian Feldbausch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LL?LL
- Toby Martin
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Jesse De Jager - Toby Martin	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Fausto Tabacco - Toby Martin	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Toby Martin - Daniel Dutra da Silva	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Toby Martin - Matija Pecotic	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Toby Martin - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Manvydas Balciunas - Toby Martin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide