Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Marat Sharipov		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.56	2.27
	1.59	2.31
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.56	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.32)	2.28 ↓ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marat Sharipov
59.2%

Giovanni Fonio
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marat Sharipov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marat Sharipov's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Fonio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marat Sharipov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marat Sharipov - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sharipov is ranked ATP: 270. Fonio is ranked ATP: 388.

Sharipov is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fonio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sharipov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sharipov is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
14.02.25	Marton Fucsovics - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Marat Sharipov - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Jesper De Jong - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Marat Sharipov - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
10.02.25	Marat Sharipov - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWW
- Giovanni Fonio
ITF Tournaments
21.02.25	Dan Added - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
20.02.25	Luca Parenti - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Guillaume Dalmasso - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Dominik Koepfer - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Clement Tabur - Giovanni Fonio	Tabur C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWL?

Marat Sharipov - Giovanni Fonio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide