Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Almoradi, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Marcel Zielinski		Ignacio Parisca

	1	2
	2.24	1.61
	2.42	1.47	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2.12	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcel Zielinski
42.5%

Ignacio Parisca
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcel Zielinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcel Zielinski's form might have worsened.

Ignacio Parisca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Parisca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcel Zielinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Parisca than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Parisca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marcel Zielinski - Ignacio Parisca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zielinski (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zielinski is ranked ATP: 687. Parisca is ranked ATP: 854.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Zielinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zielinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Parisca - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcel Zielinski
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Marcel Zielinski - Jordi Garcia Mestre	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Marcel Zielinski - Julian Valenzuela	Valenzuela J. walkover ✺
16.01.26	Marcel Zielinski - Sean Cuenin	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Marcel Zielinski - Diego Ortiz Gamonal	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Marcel Zielinski - Amador Salazar	Salazar A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 W?LW?
- Ignacio Parisca
ITF Tournaments
10.02.26	Ignacio Parisca - Thomas Gimenez	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Ignacio Parisca - Gabriele Maria Noce	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Ignacio Parisca	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Ignacio Parisca - Xavi Palomar	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Sergio Planella Hernandez - Ignacio Parisca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Ignacio Parisca - Marcel Zielinski	0:2

Marcel Zielinski - Ignacio Parisca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide