Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 CATTOLICA (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 June 2023, Thursday


	Marcello Serafini		Daniel Dutra da Silva

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.86	1.86
	1.85	1.92
	1.91	1.8
	1.97	1.75	Watch
	1.91	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.33)	1.82 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcello Serafini
49.1%

Daniel Dutra da Silva
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcello Serafini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcello Serafini's performance.

Daniel Dutra da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Dutra da Silva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcello Serafini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Dutra da Silva than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Dutra da Silva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Serafini in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Dutra da Silva is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dutra da Silva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dutra da Silva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcello Serafini
ITF Tournaments
21.06.23	Marcello Serafini - Carlo Alberto Fossati	2:0 ✺
20.06.23	Marcello Serafini - Giammarco Gandolfi	2:0 ✺
18.06.23	Manuel Mazza - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Tommaso Compagnucci - Marcello Serafini	0:2 ✺
17.06.23	Andrea Picchione - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW
- Daniel Dutra da Silva
ITF Tournaments
21.06.23	Pietro Marino - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	Filippo Romano - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
11.06.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - David Pichler	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Sebastian Fanselow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Marcello Serafini - Daniel Dutra da Silva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide