Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cattolica (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 June 2024, Tuesday


	Marcello Serafini		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
	1.42	2.6
	1.43	2.55
	1.45	2.62
	1.45	2.62
	1.44	2.62
	1.46	2.59	Watch
	1.43	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	2.59 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcello Serafini
64.3%

Gabriele Pennaforti
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcello Serafini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Marcello Serafini - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Serafini is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pennaforti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Serafini will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Serafini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcello Serafini
ATP Challenger
09.06.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
02.06.24	Stefan Popovic - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
26.05.24	Marcello Serafini - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Marcello Serafini - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLW
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ATP Challenger
09.06.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Giovanni Oradini	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.24	Sebastian Eriksson - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
28.05.24	Frano Sucic - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
26.05.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Viacheslav Bielinskyi	0:2 ✺
25.05.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Mili Poljicak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.10.23	Marcello Serafini - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1

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