Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marco Cecchinato		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	2.75	1.4
	2.7	1.41
	2.79	1.54
	2.89	1.39	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.77	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.4)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Cecchinato
34.3%

Andrea Pellegrino
65.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Cecchinato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Marco Cecchinato - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Pellegrino (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 180. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 126.

In recent matches, Cecchinato has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pellegrino is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cecchinato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pellegrino might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Pellegrino will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cecchinato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.07%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Max Houkes - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Marco Cecchinato - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Marco Cecchinato - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Marco Cecchinato - Raul Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Francis Tiafoe - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Arthur Fils	Fils A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Marco Cecchinato - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2

Marco Cecchinato - Andrea Pellegrino