Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Marco Cecchinato		Jerome Kym

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3	1.32	Watch
	3.2	1.4
	2.98	1.35	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.99	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.55)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Cecchinato
30.5%

Jerome Kym
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Cecchinato's form might have worsened.

Jerome Kym has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jerome Kym's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Cecchinato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerome Kym than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jerome Kym, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Marco Cecchinato - Jerome Kym Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kym (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Kym (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jerome Kym will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kym (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 225. Kym is ranked ATP: 180.

Cecchinato has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kym is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kym may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kym is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Kym will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cecchinato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Sandro Kopp - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Marco Cecchinato - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.26	Francesco Passaro - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Jerome Kym
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Michiel De Krom - Jerome Kym	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Samuele Pieri - Jerome Kym	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Jerome Kym - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Jerome Kym - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Martin Landaluce - Jerome Kym	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.07.25	Jerome Kym - Marco Cecchinato	2:0
04.07.25	Jerome Kym - Marco Cecchinato	2:0

Marco Cecchinato - Jerome Kym: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide