The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marco Trungelliti 63.8%
Goncalo Oliveira 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.3%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Goncalo Oliveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goncalo Oliveira than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Goncalo Oliveira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Marco Trungelliti - Goncalo Oliveira Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Oliveira will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Recent matches Trungelliti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Oliveira is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Oliveira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Trungelliti will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Trungelliti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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