Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Referee: Schnabel K. (Ger)


	Marco Trungelliti		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.85
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	1.86	1.96
	1.99	1.86	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.92)	1.85 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
49.3%

Henrique Rocha
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marco Trungelliti - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Rocha will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rocha: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rocha is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rocha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.34%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Umag
20.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Matija Pecotic	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
18.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
14.07.24	Aziz Dougaz - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
13.07.24	Marko Topo - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WL?WW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Umag
20.07.24	Zsombor Piros - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.24	Henrique Rocha - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.24	Henrique Rocha - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Henrique Rocha - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW

Marco Trungelliti - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide