Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Zsombor Piros		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
			Watch
	1.73	2
	1.86	1.99
	1.75	2.03	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.72	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)	2 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zsombor Piros
53.2%

Henrique Rocha
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Zsombor Piros - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: Zsombor Piros will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zsombor Piros will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Piros is ranked ATP: 148. Rocha is ranked ATP: 118.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Piros won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Zsombor Piros - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Zsombor Piros - Tom Gentzsch	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Zsombor Piros - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Dino Prizmic - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Zsombor Piros - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Zsombor Piros - Tiago Pereira	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLW?
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Umag
20.07.24	Zsombor Piros - Henrique Rocha	0:2

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