Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sharm ElSheikh 8 (Egypt), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Marek Gengel		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
	1.28	3.25
	1.18	4.55	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.25	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.41)	3.79 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Gengel
75.4%

Michele Ribecai
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marek Gengel's performance.

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michele Ribecai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marek Gengel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michele Ribecai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Gengel is ranked ATP: 237. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 761.

Gengel is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ribecai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ribecai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gengel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gengel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marek Gengel
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Marek Gengel - Hugo Ouzilou	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Marek Gengel - Ergi Kirkin	Gengel M. retired ✺
11.03.25	Marek Gengel - Mats Rosenkranz	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Billy Harris - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Marek Gengel - S D Prajwal Dev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 W?WLW
- Michele Ribecai
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Michele Ribecai - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Michele Ribecai - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Kerem Yilmaz - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Tanguy Genier - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.07.24	Michele Ribecai - Marek Gengel	0:2

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