Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 (Greece), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Marek Gengel		Ergi Kirkin

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.58	2.42
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)	2.4 ↓ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Gengel
61%

Ergi Kirkin
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Gengel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Marek Gengel - Ergi Kirkin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gengel is ranked ATP: 244. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 300.

Recent matches Gengel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kirkin is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gengel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gengel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Ergi Kirkin - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Marek Gengel - Mats Rosenkranz	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Billy Harris - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Marek Gengel - S D Prajwal Dev	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Michael Geerts - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Marek Gengel - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL
- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Ergi Kirkin - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
15.02.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Ergi Kirkin	Kirkin E. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Ergi Kirkin - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Billy Harris - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Marek Gengel - Ergi Kirkin	0:2

Marek Gengel - Ergi Kirkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide