Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Limoges (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 December 2024, Monday


	Margaux Rouvroy		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.09	1.77
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.08	1.7	Watch
	2.02	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.5)	1.73 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Margaux Rouvroy
45.7%

Varvara Lepchenko
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Margaux Rouvroy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Margaux Rouvroy's performance.

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Lepchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margaux Rouvroy than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Margaux Rouvroy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Margaux Rouvroy - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Rouvroy will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Lepchenko will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lepchenko: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rouvroy is ranked WTA: 217. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 138.

Rouvroy is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lepchenko is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rouvroy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lepchenko will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Margaux Rouvroy
ITF Tournaments
03.12.24	Margaux Rouvroy - Caroline Werner	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Margaux Rouvroy - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Margaux Rouvroy - Hanne Van De Winkel	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Margaux Rouvroy - Tessa Johanna Brockmann	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Margaux Rouvroy - Ranah Akua Stoiber	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
06.12.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Dominika Salkova	1:2 ✺
04.12.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
02.12.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Anouk Koevermans	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Katarzyna Kawa	1:2 ✺
25.11.24	Renata Zarazua - Varvara Lepchenko	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWL?

Margaux Rouvroy - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide