Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Angers (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 December 2024, Monday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Anouk Koevermans

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.56	2.29	Watch
	1.56	2.48
	1.55	2.46	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.56	2.33	Watch
	1.56	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.84)	2.34 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
60.1%

Anouk Koevermans
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varvara Lepchenko's performance.

Anouk Koevermans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anouk Koevermans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varvara Lepchenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anouk Koevermans than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anouk Koevermans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Varvara Lepchenko - Anouk Koevermans Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lepchenko will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Koevermans will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lepchenko: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 143. Koevermans is ranked WTA: 190.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Lepchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lepchenko will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lepchenko won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Anouk Koevermans - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
26.11.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Katarzyna Kawa	1:2 ✺
25.11.24	Renata Zarazua - Varvara Lepchenko	Canceled ✺
22.11.24	Hanna Chang - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
21.11.24	Ekaterina Makarova - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
19.11.24	Sophie Chang - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 L?LWW
- Anouk Koevermans
ATP Challenger
30.10.24	Carson Branstine - Anouk Koevermans	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.10.24	Petra Marcinko - Anouk Koevermans	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Anouk Koevermans - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Cadence Brace - Anouk Koevermans	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Viktoria Morvayova - Anouk Koevermans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Anouk Koevermans - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1

Varvara Lepchenko - Anouk Koevermans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide